1. FSV Mainz 05 – Eintracht Frankfurt (PREDICTION 27.10.2017)

Prediction: Mainz win @ 2.65


When Mainz 05 receives Eintracht Frankfurt at Opel Arena in the 10th round of Bundesliga, I am against the companies. The odds are awaiting a goal-wise event, but do not seem to fully understand the conditions I think. There are two offensive teams with multiple defensive breaks that collide in a relatively important match. Frankfurt tries to hang on the top team, while Mainz can reach the upper half and safer ground.

After a very mediocre introduction, the home team Mainz has stepped up a lot and now has 4 wins on its last 6 matches (in addition, a debut). The team has also taken 90% of their points at home. In particular, the defense has failed to deliver, and despite the fact that ahead of the season, the merited and highly experienced goalkeeper, Rene Adler, did not succeed at all. Now, however, came the message yesterday that the German goalkeeper is injured (https://www.mainz05.de/aktuell/news/news-detail-aktuelles/news/muskelsehnenverletzung-bei-rene-adler/) – which makes it really for Mainz. One reason why the defense went so hard, I would say is partly coach Schwarz’s fault – when he tested the majority of formations and tactics so far. Most recently played in a 3-4-2-1 set-up, something that Schalke punished them twice. Personally, I would like a little more continuity so that you can build a stable basic game and let the players adapt to their respective roles.

The goalkeeper has at least gained momentum, and among other things, the Japanese Muto has scored 3 goals, but the two new ways Maxim and Diallo have managed to make their way into the uptake of the Bundesliga. In addition to the first goalkeeper, there are also defenders Hack, Bungert and Balogun – where the latter is a real break!

The away team Frankfurt also comes with a good morale in the squad after collecting four wins and a draw in his last 5 matches. Sebastien Haller – who was taken in from Utrecht – is in a straightforward form with 4 goals in his last 3 matches. In other words, it’s actually a really exciting squad that Frankfurt can show up this year, or what about these acquisitions; Kevin-Prince Boateng, De Guzmán, Jetro Williams and Falette. In particular, Williams has received a lot of praise from fans and coach Niko Kovac. Even Frankfurt, however, has a number of injuries, among which defending Regäsel, Da Costa, Chandler and Knothe (Chandler by far the biggest avenue) and midfielder Fernandes and Mascarell probably miss the match.

Frankfurt plays “also” with a three-line line, where the team captain Abraham may take much responsibility in the defensive. I think, however, that there has been some blur on the edges, and I doubt that players like Öztunateli will hesitate to challenge along their right flank.

In their last 10 matches, Mainz scores 3.5 goals / matches and Frankfurt scores 2.6 goals / match – two high numbers for German teams.
Mainz 10 of 11 most recent matches contain at least 2 goals, of which the last 4 all contained 3+ goals.
Frankfurts 7 out of 8 most recent matches contain at least 2 goals, of which the last 6 all contained 3+ goals.
In 6 straight H2H meetings, there will be 3 goals or more, where half will see 4+ goals as well. Last team met – last spring – there were 6 goals.

That we get @ 1.70 on over 2.0 asian – that is, the money back at exactly 2 goals – is completely unmanageable. The odds have already fallen and will continue to do this. Be preoccupied and rid this now instead of waiting! I invest 5h on this game – a high bet.

Should we say 1-2 and revans for the away team?